Travis Allen’s mostly false claim about crime in California

Hard-right political activist Todd Juvinall is gushing on his blog about meeting Travis Allen, the Orange County Assemblyman who is running for governor.

Todd and his like-minded retirees  “Norm Sauer, Don Bessee, Crawford and Josie Bost” gathered for salad and pizza at the Realtors building to hear Allen.

What Todd left out was Allen’s mostly false claim about crime in California — a dog whistle for his white fan base in a state that is become more Hispanic.

“I have seen crime increase in every major metropolitan area (in California) … Crime is on the rise in every major market,” Allen has stated on the campaign trail.

But Polifact California poked a giant hole in Allen’s narrative: “California has seen dramatic long-term crime reductions since the 1990s,” it noted, and it showed a chart to illustrate it.

You can read more about Travis Allen here, here and here.

Author: jeffpelline

Jeff Pelline is a veteran editor and award-winning journalist - in print and online. He is publisher of Sierra FoodWineArt magazine and its website SierraCulture.com. Jeff covered business and technology for The San Francisco Chronicle for years, was a founding editor and Editor of CNET News, and was Editor of The Union, a 145-year-old newspaper in Grass Valley. Jeff has a bachelor's degree from UC Berkeley and a master's from Northwestern University. His hobbies include sailing and trout fishing.

11 thoughts on “Travis Allen’s mostly false claim about crime in California”

      1. Todd couldn’t afford Orange County. He’s Del Webb material: well-maintained rock gardens, Aqua Velva, organized shindigs with “gals,” etc.

  1. You can’t fix stupid when it comes to Todd and his dark trolls. One of the morons writes:
    “So Pelline is not dumb; he does not want to get sued for defamation. Note the headline of his article about Travis Allen. “Travis Allen’s ‘mostly’ false claim about crime in California. He can’t call it a false claim because the claim is true. Violent crime in California is in fact clearly and recently on the rise. That said, Pelline can argue that it is ‘mostly false’ by citing statistics from eons ago. Way to use that Rhetoric degree…try using the journalism degree once in a while. That damn thing is collecting dust. ROFLOL”

    Dear Moron:
    “Travis Allen’s Mostly False claim about crime in California”
    http://www.politifact.com/california/statements/2017/jul/03/travis-allen/travis-allens-mostly-false-claim-about-crime-calif/

    Hope this helps! No wonder legal people are held in lower esteem than journalists!

  2. BTW, 1985-2016, as the chart shows, is not “eons” as the legal beagle troll exaggerates. It provides some context. That’s what’s wrong with legal people, at least podunk ones. Face it troll: You are not Gibson Dunn and Crutcher material! And never will be. lol.

  3. Jeff:

    Yeah, the Politifact report includes this statement (supporting your article):

    Mike Males is a senior researcher at the Center on Juvenile and Criminal Justice, a policy research group that makes recommendations on alternatives to incarceration.

    He said citing the increases in 2015 amounts to “cherry picking.”

    In a February 2017 report, Males examined more recent figures that show total crime — or the raw number of property and violent crimes — decreased in 41 of California’s largest 69 cities from the first half of 2016 compared to the first half of 2015. That contradicts the portion of Allen’s statement that says “Crime is on the rise in every major market.”

    “Cherry picking,” AKA confirmation bias, a common fallacy in reasoning.

  4. Barry Pruett likes to lash out at this blog and me. But he forgot that he lost his election in all the precincts (a fact, not a supposition). Hello? This blog is the least of his personal problems.

    1. So does he think he going to stop any of us from reading and responding to your blog? IF he does, ROFLMAO!

      1. He’s still a very angry guy. Hope he finds happiness one day instead of lashing out at me and Greg Diaz.

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