The data below from CSAC (California State Association of Counties) contains a wealth of information. It is here.
It shows how our county is politically “purple” (a mix of Republicans and Democrats) — in this case pink. Nevada County is pink, just like Butte County (with Chico St.) or San Luis Obispo County (with Cal Poly) for that matter. (A Romney-Ryan ticket plays to the hard right “R’s” in our County, though, as I’ve written before. Moderate “R’s” risk being “run over.”)
Compare our County with Lassen County, where Assembly Candidate Brian Dahle comes from, which is dark red. Or Modoc County, where Loren “Rags” Crabtree hails from. Let’s hope the winner between Dahle and Rick Bosetti works hard to build bridges across the aisle (unlike Tom McClintock).
Also interesting is the percentage of registered voters in our County, measured by supervisor districts. District 1 (Nate Beason) is almost a dead heat in registered Republicans and Democrats, at least partly helping to explain Nate’s lopsided win over tea party candidate Sue McGuire.
District 3 (Terry Lamphier) also is almost a dead heat between “R” and “D,” partly helping to explain his win over staunch conservative John Spencer. Any Republican is vulnerable in this district.
This balance of R. versus D. could bode well for Jim Firth (on the local Democratic Central Committee) in the Grass Valley City Council race. (Though supposedly nonpartisan, most local races aren’t). Six candidates are running for three seats in Grass Valley.
District 4 (Hank Weston) is “R,” but District 5 (Ted Owens and his successor Richard Anderson) is “D.” — canceling each other out.
The only runaway “R” district is District 2 — the one represented by Ed Scofield. I would argue that the biggest polarization in our County is between the South County and the region of Nevada City to the east, all the way to Truckee. Ed and Nate seem to be working on that, however (I think).
What’s more the number of “no party” (or swing) voters in our County is relatively high, compared with other and neighboring counties. They can help determine the outcome of any election. It will be worth watching the “no party” voters in November. As always, most of us are in the middle.
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